US Treasury yields have surged to their highest levels since October 2023, driven by strong economic data and concerns over inflation, particularly in light of Trump's economic proposals. The 10-year Treasury yield approached the critical 5% mark, raising fears of a stock market sell-off as the correlation between equity and bond yields has turned negative. Analysts warn that a strong jobs report could exacerbate these pressures, potentially leading to a significant market reaction.
The US stock market is experiencing unprecedented concentration, with just 26 stocks accounting for half the S&P 500's value, raising concerns about diversification and risk. While mega-cap tech firms have driven high profit growth, their elevated valuations may lead to greater volatility and lower long-term returns. Investors should be cautious, as the current market structure resembles an inverted pyramid, heavily reliant on a few companies.
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